Popularity metrics and gameplay probability are different questions

A popularity metric answers how many people are playing or engaging within a defined period. A gameplay probability describes the chance of an event under specified conditions. Neither number substitutes for the other.

For a data product, label the population, time window, denominator, and source for each metric. Keep separate definitions in your schema so a popularity chart cannot accidentally be presented as a win-rate estimate.

Source to examine: https://metaminute.substack.com/p/fortnite-player-statistics-popularity

Check the linked source’s methodology before drawing conclusions from its figures.